Researchers have found that in roughly 80% of cases, spikes in malicious
activity like network reconnaissance, targeted scanning, and brute-forcing
attempts targeting edge networking devices are a precursor to the disclosure
of new security vulnerabilities (CVEs) within six weeks. This has been
discovered by threat monitoring firm GreyNoise, which reports these
occurrences are not random, but are rather characterized by repeatable and
statistically significant patterns.
“Across all 216 spike events we studied, 50 percent were followed by a new CVE
within three weeks, and 80 percent within six weeks,” explain the
researchers. The correlation was notably stronger for Ivanti, SonicWall, Palo
Alto Networks, and Fortinet products, and weaker for MikroTik, Citrix, and
Cisco. State-sponsored actors have repeatedly targeted such systems for
initial access and persistence.
GreyNoise notes that in the majority of the cases underlying these spikes, the
attackers perform exploit attempts against older, known flaws. The
researchers believe that this either facilitates the discovery of new
weaknesses or the discovery of internet-exposed endpoints that can be targeted
in the next phase of the attack, which leverages novel exploits.
[Source](Researchers have found that in roughly 80% of cases, spikes in malicious
activity like network reconnaissance, targeted scanning, and brute-forcing
attempts targeting edge networking devices are a precursor to the disclosure
of new security vulnerabilities (CVEs) within six weeks. This has been
discovered by threat monitoring firm GreyNoise, which reports these
occurrences are not random, but are rather characterized by repeatable and
statistically significant patterns.
“Across all 216 spike events we studied, 50 percent were followed by a new CVE
within three weeks, and 80 percent within six weeks,” explain the
researchers. The correlation was notably stronger for Ivanti, SonicWall, Palo
Alto Networks, and Fortinet products, and weaker for MikroTik, Citrix, and
Cisco. State-sponsored actors have repeatedly targeted such systems for
initial access and persistence.
GreyNoise notes that in the majority of the cases underlying these spikes, the
attackers perform exploit attempts against older, known flaws. The
researchers believe that this either facilitates the discovery of new
weaknesses or the discovery of internet-exposed endpoints that can be targeted
in the next phase of the attack, which leverages novel exploits.
[Source](Researchers have found that in roughly 80% of cases, spikes in malicious
activity like network reconnaissance, targeted scanning, and brute-forcing
attempts targeting edge networking devices are a precursor to the disclosure
of new security vulnerabilities (CVEs) within six weeks. This has been
discovered by threat monitoring firm GreyNoise, which reports these
occurrences are not random, but are rather characterized by repeatable and
statistically significant patterns.
“Across all 216 spike events we studied, 50 percent were followed by a new CVE
within three weeks, and 80 percent within six weeks,” explain the
researchers. The correlation was notably stronger for Ivanti, SonicWall, Palo
Alto Networks, and Fortinet products, and weaker for MikroTik, Citrix, and
Cisco. State-sponsored actors have repeatedly targeted such systems for
initial access and persistence.
GreyNoise notes that in the majority of the cases underlying these spikes, the
attackers perform exploit attempts against older, known flaws. The
researchers believe that this either facilitates the discovery of new
weaknesses or the discovery of internet-exposed endpoints that can be targeted
in the next phase of the attack, which leverages novel exploits.
Source